12

Malda Du Rib

4yo Filly · 8-11

Cabourg · Prix De Courvaudon - Monte · 1m 5f 147y

#18

Rank

Odds

75/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#18

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 26/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 12826/04C?C0 @ Caen 17/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 128C0 @ Cabourg 25/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 12825/07C?C0 @ Cabourg 12/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 25/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 12825/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 31/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 128C0 @ Graignes 02/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 02/02C?5 @ Graignes 09/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 134C0 @ Caen 16/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 13416/03C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-16Caen?8th8th0
2026-02-09Graignes57th7th0
2026-02-02Graignes?5th5th0
2025-12-31Vincennes?6th6th0
2025-10-25Cabourg?10th10th0
2025-08-12Cabourg?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0412/082/0216/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 1812% of fieldRange 11-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength10%

Delivery trend -4.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/04/20257th20/10%60%+0.60
17/05/20255th25/10%69%+0.69
25/07/20259th20/10%38%+0.38
12/08/20258th50/10%42%+0.42
25/10/202510th28/10%31%+0.31
31/12/20256th11/271%38%-0.34
02/02/20265th40/10%43%+0.43
09/02/20267th20/10%33%+0.33
16/03/20268th50/10%30%+0.30