18

Millonga Vrie
4yo Filly · 9-8
Cabourg · Prix De Courvaudon - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Les Sables | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Mauquenchy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Laval | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Caen | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 16-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -34.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 28/03/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 62% | +0.09 |
| 05/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 87% | +0.13 |
| 26/08/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 31% | -0.46 |