18

Millonga Vrie

4yo Filly · 9-8

Cabourg · Prix De Courvaudon - Monte · 1m 5f 147y

#5

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 05/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 1345/03C?6 @ Laval 28/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 13428/036C0 @ Mauquenchy 05/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 1345/08C?C0 @ Les Sables 26/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 13426/08C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Les Sables?10th10th0
2026-08-05Mauquenchy?3rd3rd0
2026-03-28Laval66th6th0
2026-03-05Caen?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0328/035/0826/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 16-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -34.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/03/20265th28/10%69%+0.69
28/03/20266th9/153%62%+0.09
05/08/20263rd5/174%87%+0.13
26/08/202610th9/276%31%-0.46