10

Jour De Victoire

7yo Gelding · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix D'asnelles - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#2

Rank

Odds

70/1

Win Prob

29%

Place Prob

39%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 20/06/2022 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 020/06C?C0 @ Vincennes 24/12/2022 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m2f178y 132C0 @ Vincennes 24/01/2023 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13924/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 04/12/2023 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 139C0 @ Vincennes 22/12/2023 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13922/12C?C0 @ Caen 04/03/2024 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 143C0 @ Cherbourg 01/04/2024 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 1431/04C?C0 @ Cabourg 01/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 1431/07C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-07-01Cabourg?1st1st0
2024-04-17Reims?0
2024-04-01Cherbourg?3rd3rd0
2024-03-19Meslay Du Maine?0
2024-03-04Caen?4th4th0
2024-02-11Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/064/121/041/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength12%

Delivery trend -0.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/06/20221st3/184%100%+0.16
24/12/20222nd9/488%83%-0.05
24/01/20237th17/255%50%-0.05
04/12/20234th25/10%73%+0.73
22/12/20232nd7/282%93%+0.11
04/03/20244th11/271%77%+0.06
01/04/20243rd11/486%78%-0.08
01/07/20251st10/382%100%+0.18