15

Karo Dairpet

6yo Gelding · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix D'asnelles - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#8

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 13/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 013/03C?C0 @ Chateaubriant 25/05/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Saint-Malo 08/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 08/06C?C0 @ Cabourg 08/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 31/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 031/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 27/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 06 @ Caen 12/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 012/0366 @ Caen 25/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0C0 @ Argentan 19/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 019/05C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Argentan?0
2026-05-19Argentan?5th5th0
2026-04-25Caen64th4th0
2026-03-12Caen62nd2nd0
2026-01-27Vincennes?8th8th0
2025-12-31Vincennes?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/038/1212/0319/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/03/20254th11/271%70%-0.01
25/05/202510th28/10%31%+0.31
08/06/20255th14/126%43%+0.17
08/12/20257th50/10%60%+0.60
31/12/20252nd20/10%92%+0.92
27/01/20268th9/276%36%-0.40
12/03/20262nd3/184%92%+0.08
25/04/20264th28/10%80%+0.80
19/05/20265th22/10%67%+0.67