6

Keep Control

6yo Gelding · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix D'asnelles - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 07/08/2023 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 07/08C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 17/08/2023 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 017/08C?C0 @ La Capelle 29/08/2023 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 029/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 29/11/2023 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 029/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 04/01/2024 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 04/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 12/12/2024 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13912/12C?6 @ Nancy 28/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 028/036projClass-projected finish: 13th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-22Le Croise-Laroche?0
2026-03-28Nancy611th11th0
2024-12-12Vincennes?7th7th0
2024-11-15Vincennes?0
2024-04-07La Capelle?0
2024-03-25Le Croise-Laroche?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0829/1128/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength88%

Delivery trend +3.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/08/20233rd7/163%75%+0.12
17/08/20235th12/137%33%-0.04
29/08/20231st9/153%100%+0.47
29/11/20235th28/10%60%+0.60
04/01/202411th22/10%17%+0.17
12/12/20247th33/10%25%+0.25
28/03/202611th33/10%33%+0.33