16

Koziello De Lou

6yo Horse · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix D'asnelles - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#3

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 19/04/2024 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 019/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 14/05/2024 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 28/06/2024 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 028/06C?C0 @ Enghien 17/07/2024 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 09/08/2024 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 09/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 31/08/2024 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 29/09/2024 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 029/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 18/11/2024 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 28/11/2024 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 028/11C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-17Meslay Du Maine?0
2025-10-19Caen?0
2025-02-04Vincennes?0
2024-12-29Vincennes?0
2024-12-08Vincennes?0
2024-11-28Vincennes?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0417/0729/0928/11
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 10-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength23%

Delivery trend -3.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/04/20241st10/147%100%+0.53
14/05/20246th20/10%64%+0.64
28/06/202410th22/10%40%+0.40
17/07/20242nd10/147%89%+0.42
09/08/20241st2/189%100%+0.11
31/08/20242nd12/137%88%+0.51
29/09/20244th8/158%80%+0.22
18/11/202410th18/15%40%+0.35
28/11/20247th28/10%33%+0.33