Silent Runner
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 106
Canterbury Park · Race 1 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Turf Paradise | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-28 | Turf Paradise | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Turf Paradise | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/12/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 12/01/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 11/02/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 03/03/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 28/04/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |