7
Sir Exton
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 98
Canterbury Park · Race 1 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength23%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 04/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |