3
Summer In Adriane
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 91
Canterbury Park · Race 1 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Fair Grounds | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-02-19 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-01-23 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-01-02 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-10-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2025 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |
| 09/04/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 20/07/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 22/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 02/01/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 23/01/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 19/02/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 16/03/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 57% | -0.30 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |