Cachinnation
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 70
Canterbury Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Canterbury Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Canterbury Park | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-07-10 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-11 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-05-25 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 89% | +0.18 |
| 12/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 30/04/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 09/08/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 23/08/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 06/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |