5
Ann Alee
6yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 89
Canterbury Park · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-09 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-06-21 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength81%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 10/08/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 06/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 21/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 3/10 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |