Martynas' Joy
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 74
Canterbury Park · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Canterbury Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-09-26 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-09-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/2024 | 9th | 5/2 | 87% | 11% | -0.76 |
| 23/05/2024 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 08/07/2024 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 04/09/2024 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 26/09/2024 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 16/08/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 29% | -0.42 |
| 05/10/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 09/08/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 14% | -0.52 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |