12
Ima Complex Guy
2yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 30
Canterbury Park · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength45%
Delivery trend +8.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 02/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 23/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |