11

Irish Liaison

2yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 25

Canterbury Park · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Canterbury Park 16/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 5f Fas 12016/08C6C6 @ Canterbury Park 29/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 5f110y 12029/08C6projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Canterbury Park?3rd3rd0
2026-08-16Canterbury Park?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +60.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20267th20/10%0%0.00
29/08/20263rd25/10%60%+0.60