Found Jordan
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 94
Canterbury Park · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 3f
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-08-09 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-23 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-07 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 13/07/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 07/08/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 16/08/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 16/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 06/09/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |