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3

High Ransom

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 73

Canterbury Park · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 3f

#9

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength43%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Colonial Downs 15/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 72 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark15/08/2025 · OR 72 par15/08C7OR 72C7 @ Delaware Park 28/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 71 · 1m70y Fm 122 · below its mark28/08/2025 · OR 71 parC8 @ Hawthorne 16/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 72 · 1m Gd 122 · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 72 par16/10C8OR 72C8 @ Fair Grounds 16/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 70 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark16/01/2026 · OR 70 parC8 @ Fair Grounds 06/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 75 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark06/02/2026 · OR 75 par6/02C8OR 75C8 @ Fairmount Park 16/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 67 · 1m Gd 124 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 67 parC5 @ Canterbury Park 02/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 65 · 1m 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/08/2026 · OR 65 par2/08C5OR 65C5 @ Canterbury Park 20/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 64 · 7f110y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 64 parC5 @ Canterbury Park 06/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 73 · 1m110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 73 par6/09C5OR 73projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Canterbury Park?6th5th+1
2026-08-20Canterbury Park?2nd1st+1
2026-08-02Canterbury Park?3rd2nd+1
2026-05-16Fairmount Park?5th7th−2
2026-02-06Fair Grounds?9th11th−2
2026-01-16Fair Grounds?10th12th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0816/012/086/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength34%

Delivery trend +2.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20259th50/10%0%0.00
28/08/20256th40/10%0%0.00
16/10/202510th13/266%18%-0.48
16/01/202610th50/10%18%+0.18
06/02/20269th40/10%11%+0.11
16/05/20265th25/10%0%0.00
02/08/20263rd9/153%60%+0.07
20/08/20262nd5/287%83%-0.04
06/09/20266th40/10%17%+0.17