2

Ramblingamblinman

6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 63

Canterbury Park · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 3f

#7

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Canterbury Park 27/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 66 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/07/2025 · OR 66 par27/07C5OR 66C5 @ Canterbury Park 17/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 65 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/08/2025 · OR 65 parC6 @ Canterbury Park 31/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 64 · 1m 124 · beat its mark31/08/2025 · OR 64 par31/08C6OR 64C8 @ Canterbury Park 18/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 69 · 1m70y Fm 123 · below its mark18/09/2025 · OR 69 parC5 @ Canterbury Park 31/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 73 · 7f110y Slo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 73 par31/05C5OR 73C5 @ Canterbury Park 20/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 66 · 1m Fm 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 66 parC5 @ Canterbury Park 05/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 66 · 1m 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 66 par5/07C5OR 66C5 @ Canterbury Park 02/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 52 · 1m 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/08/2026 · OR 52 parC5 @ Canterbury Park 20/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 60 · 7f110y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 60 par20/08C5OR 60projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Canterbury Park?1st0th+1
2026-08-02Canterbury Park?4th3rd+1
2026-07-05Canterbury Park?4th3rd+1
2026-06-20Canterbury Park?4th3rd+1
2026-05-31Canterbury Park?4th3rd+1
2025-09-18Canterbury Park?2nd4th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0718/095/0720/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength4%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/07/20253rd6/168%60%-0.08
17/08/20257th9/153%0%-0.53
31/08/20255th9/153%50%-0.03
18/09/20252nd4/179%80%+0.01
31/05/20264th7/163%25%-0.38
20/06/20264th7/163%25%-0.38
05/07/20264th6/168%0%-0.68
02/08/20264th5/174%40%-0.34
20/08/20261st7/163%100%+0.37