9
Treble Clef
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 95
Canterbury Park · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 3f
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-05-03 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-02-16 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength61%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 12/11/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/01/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 16/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 04/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 77% | +0.61 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |