Victorious Vanda
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 97
Canterbury Park · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 3f
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
83%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-26 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-07 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +9.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 6th | 5/4 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 03/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 20/12/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 07/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 12/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 06/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |