3

Alltail
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 59
Canterbury Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-02 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 04/04/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 27% | -0.25 |
| 11/04/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 25% | -0.64 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 06/09/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |