3

Alltail

4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 59

Canterbury Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Oaklawn Park 07/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 66 · 1m110y Fas 117 · below its mark07/03/2025 · OR 66 par7/03C9OR 66C9 @ Oaklawn Park 04/04/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 59 · 6f Slo 120 · below its mark04/04/2025 · OR 59 parC9 @ Oaklawn Park 11/04/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 55 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark11/04/2025 · OR 55 par11/04C9OR 55C9 @ Canterbury Park 21/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 51 · 5f Fas 125 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 51 parC9 @ Canterbury Park 02/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 49 · 7f 125 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 49 par2/07C9OR 49C9 @ Canterbury Park 12/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 45 · 1m Fm 125 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 45 parC9 @ Canterbury Park 08/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 50 · 5f 125 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 50 par8/08C9OR 50C9 @ Canterbury Park 27/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 51 · 1m 125 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 51 parC8 @ Canterbury Park 06/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 59 · 5f 125 · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 59 par6/09C8OR 59projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Canterbury Park?5th5th0
2026-08-27Canterbury Park?1st2nd1
2026-08-08Canterbury Park?2nd3rd1
2026-07-12Canterbury Park?2nd3rd1
2026-07-02Canterbury Park?4th5th1
2026-06-21Canterbury Park?2nd3rd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0321/068/086/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/03/20255th13/266%33%-0.32
04/04/20259th9/153%27%-0.25
11/04/20259th33/10%20%+0.20
21/06/20262nd7/282%67%-0.15
02/07/20264th2/189%25%-0.64
12/07/20262nd8/158%83%+0.25
08/08/20262nd5/174%80%+0.06
27/08/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
06/09/20265th5/174%20%-0.54