1

Beautiful Judge

7yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 70

Canterbury Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m

#12

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength54%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Sam Houston Race Park 30/01/2022 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 12230/01C9C8 @ Fonner Park 18/02/2023 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 54 · 4f Fas 125 · below its mark18/02/2023 · OR 54 par18/02C8OR 54C5 @ Remington Park 30/11/2024 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 55 · 7f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/11/2024 · OR 55 par30/11C5OR 55C8 @ Remington Park 13/12/2024 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 55 · 1m Fas 122 · below its mark13/12/2024 · OR 55 par13/12C8OR 55C8 @ Canterbury Park 11/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 51 · 1m Fm 125 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 51 par11/07C8OR 51C5 @ Canterbury Park 09/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 52 · 1m Fm 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 52 par9/08C5OR 52C8 @ Canterbury Park 23/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 70 · 1m Fm 125 · below its mark23/08/2026 · OR 70 par23/08C8OR 70projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Canterbury Park?8th8th0
2026-08-09Canterbury Park?5th2nd+3
2026-07-11Canterbury Park?3rd3rd0
2024-12-13Remington Park?9th9th0
2024-11-30Remington Park?6th3rd+3
2023-02-18Fonner Park?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0113/1223/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength45%

Delivery trend +8.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/01/20226th16/116%0%-0.16
18/02/20233rd10/382%50%-0.32
30/11/20246th33/10%0%0.00
13/12/20249th50/10%20%+0.20
11/07/20263rd20/10%50%+0.50
09/08/20265th40/10%43%+0.43
23/08/20268th25/10%0%0.00