12
Blues Cross
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 73
Canterbury Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
24%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength69%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-06-05 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-04-29 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 12/04/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 29/04/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 21/06/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/15 | 97% | 75% | -0.22 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 23/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |