5

Charging Darling

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 72

Canterbury Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength88%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Canterbury Park 10/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 4f110y 115 · HIGHER CLASS10/07C6C6 @ Canterbury Park 24/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 5f Slo 118 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Canterbury Park 24/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 55 · 5f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/08/2025 · OR 55 par24/08C6OR 55C5 @ Canterbury Park 07/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 28 · 6f 115 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/09/2025 · OR 28 parC5 @ Canterbury Park 05/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 42 · 7f110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 42 par5/06C5OR 42C8 @ Canterbury Park 14/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 53 · 7f110y Fm 120 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 53 parC5 @ Canterbury Park 04/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 59 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 59 par4/07C5OR 59C5 @ Canterbury Park 01/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 69 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 69 par1/08C5OR 69projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Canterbury Park?5th2nd+3
2026-07-04Canterbury Park?2nd-1th+3
2026-06-14Canterbury Park?1st1st0
2026-06-05Canterbury Park?7th4th+3
2025-09-07Canterbury Park?11th7th+3
2025-08-24Canterbury Park?4th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/077/094/071/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength23%

Delivery trend -5.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/07/20256th16/116%17%+0.01
24/07/20259th25/10%0%0.00
24/08/20254th40/10%50%+0.50
07/09/202511th50/10%0%0.00
05/06/20267th14/126%0%-0.26
14/06/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
04/07/20262nd12/137%67%+0.30
01/08/20265th7/163%0%-0.63