Dancing Boots

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 66

Canterbury Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

40%

Place Prob

29%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼1

Strength63%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.3

Today:

Class gap: +1.3

Higher-class runs: 5

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-09	Canterbury Park	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-07-23	Canterbury Park	?	1st	-1th	+2	5.0
2026-06-28	Canterbury Park	?	4th	2nd	+2	7.8
2026-06-06	Canterbury Park	?	3rd	1st	+2	8.8
2025-08-14	Canterbury Park	?	7th	5th	+2	4.8
2025-07-24	Canterbury Park	?	7th	5th	+2	4.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▲

Strength12%

Delivery trend +3.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
24/07/2025	7th	6/1	68%	25%	-0.43
14/08/2025	7th	16/1	16%	33%	+0.18
06/06/2026	3rd	10/11	95%	50%	-0.45
28/06/2026	4th	9/4	88%	25%	-0.63
23/07/2026	1st	6/4	92%	100%	+0.08
09/08/2026	3rd	5/1	74%	67%	-0.07