4

Heavenly Tactic

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 72

Canterbury Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength40%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Canterbury Park 03/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS3/09C6C6 @ Canterbury Park 14/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 42 · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 42 par14/06C6OR 42C9 @ Canterbury Park 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 34 · 7f 120 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 34 par2/07C9OR 34C8 @ Canterbury Park 24/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 47 · 1m Fm 118 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 47 par24/07C8OR 47C8 @ Canterbury Park 23/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 59 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark23/08/2026 · OR 59 par23/08C8OR 59projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Canterbury Park?5th5th0
2026-07-24Canterbury Park?2nd2nd0
2026-07-02Canterbury Park?1st2nd1
2026-06-14Canterbury Park?7th5th+2
2025-09-03Canterbury Park?5th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0914/062/0724/0723/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength81%

Delivery trend +12.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20255th4/179%33%-0.46
14/06/20267th8/158%0%-0.58
02/07/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
24/07/20262nd14/126%83%+0.57
23/08/20265th10/382%43%-0.40