IvyArcIvyArc
7

Instant Love

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 72

Canterbury Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

27%

Place Prob

24%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength79%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +2.2
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Canterbury Park 23/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS23/05C6C6 @ Canterbury Park 06/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 58 · 7f110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 58 par6/06C6OR 58C5 @ Canterbury Park 21/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 64 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 64 par21/06C5OR 64C5 @ Canterbury Park 12/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 70 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 70 par12/07C5OR 70C5 @ Canterbury Park 01/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 73 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 73 par1/08C5OR 73C5 @ Canterbury Park 05/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 73 · 7f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 73 par5/09C5OR 73projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Canterbury Park?3rd0th+3
2026-08-01Canterbury Park?4th1st+3
2026-07-12Canterbury Park?5th2nd+3
2026-06-21Canterbury Park?5th2nd+3
2026-06-06Canterbury Park?1st-1th+2
2026-05-23Canterbury Park?4th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/056/0621/0612/071/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength30%

Delivery trend +0.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/20264th11/486%40%-0.46
06/06/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
21/06/20265th7/282%20%-0.62
12/07/20265th5/174%33%-0.40
01/08/20264th10/382%25%-0.57
05/09/20263rd8/158%60%+0.02