10
Magica
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 70
Canterbury Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-02-05 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 27/09/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 73% | +0.04 |
| 19/10/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 08/11/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 05/02/2026 | 4th | 1/1 | 95% | 63% | -0.32 |
| 22/02/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 38% | -0.47 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 01/04/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 10% | -0.53 |
| 12/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |