8
Maywood Honor
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 68
Canterbury Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength55%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-14 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-08-31 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-08-14 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-08-06 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 14/08/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 31/08/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 17% | -0.44 |
| 23/08/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |