6
Minnesota Rose
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 73
Canterbury Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength71%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-08-16 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-07-24 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-14 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2024 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 21/11/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/12/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 16/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |