Camping Siete
2yo Colt · 8-7 · OR 58
Churchill Downs · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Ellis Park | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-06-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-10 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 19/07/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |