J B Strikes Back
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 103
Churchill Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-02 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | -4th | +7 |
| 2024-12-26 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | -7th | +7 |
| 2024-11-23 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2024-11-03 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2024-10-04 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2024-09-08 | Del Mar | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2024 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 21/07/2024 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 03/08/2024 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 08/09/2024 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 04/10/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 03/11/2024 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 23/11/2024 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 26/12/2024 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 02/03/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |