11

Call Me Angel

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 70

Churchill Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Gulfstream 29/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 6f Fas 12029/08C9C9 @ Gulfstream 03/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 57 · 5f 120 · beat its mark03/10/2025 · OR 57 parC8 @ Churchill Downs 02/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 66 · 5f110y Fas 118 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 66 par2/11C8OR 66C8 @ Turfway Park 21/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 63 · 6f110y Fas 118 · below its mark21/02/2026 · OR 63 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 60 · 6f 118 · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 60 par15/06C8OR 60C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 56 · 5f110y Slo 118 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 56 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 60 · 6f Fas 118 · below its mark13/08/2026 · OR 60 par13/08C8OR 60C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 68 · 5f110y 118 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 68 par3/09C8OR 68projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2026-08-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-07-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2026-06-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-02-21Turfway Park?10th10th0
2025-11-02Churchill Downs?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0821/0213/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength60%

Delivery trend +2.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/08/20256th16/116%17%+0.01
03/10/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
02/11/20256th13/266%17%-0.49
21/02/202610th20/10%0%0.00
15/06/20265th12/137%20%-0.17
06/07/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
13/08/20267th9/153%25%-0.28
03/09/20261st5/287%100%+0.13