Glazin' Fury
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 71
Churchill Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Ellis Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2025-11-19 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-11 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 14% | -0.52 |
| 31/08/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 11/10/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 14/02/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 11/07/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |