Magic Seeker
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 73
Churchill Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Ellis Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-01-02 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 23/10/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 26/11/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 02/01/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 22/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 14/03/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 26/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |