11
Clonmacnoise
2yo Colt · 8-7 · OR 77
Churchill Downs · Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength87%
Delivery trend +24.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 43% | -0.23 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |