3

Coltrane

2yo Colt · 8-7 · OR 78

Churchill Downs · Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 07/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 6f 1237/08C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-07Saratoga?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength39%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/08/20268th25/10%36%+0.36