8
Diamond Tiara
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 54
Churchill Downs · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 6f 110y
#12
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Ellis Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Fair Grounds | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
Delivery trend +48.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 16/01/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 29% | -0.54 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |