
Gucci Gammy
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 58
Churchill Downs · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-07-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-20 | Ellis Park | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-06-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 20/07/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |