9
Spotted
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 65
Churchill Downs · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 6f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 30/04/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 29% | -0.57 |
| 03/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 25/06/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 36% | -0.27 |