Wado Wave
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 67
Churchill Downs · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 6f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 7.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 11th | 8th | +3 |
| 2026-07-12 | Ellis Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-03-29 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 11th | 8th | +3 |
| 2026-03-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-02-05 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -24.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 07/03/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 29/03/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 27/08/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 9% | -0.38 |