1

Coilins Girl

3yo Filly · 9-3

Clonmel · Clonmel Racecourse Supporters Club Fillies Maiden · 1m 1f 168y

#5

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Timeform

Commentary

Never a threat in pair of maidens at Dundalk and looks one for low-level handicaps later on. Makes turf debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 09/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 1299/01C8C8 @ Dundalk 27/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 12927/02C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-02-27Dundalk?7th7th0
2026-01-09Dundalk?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0127/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength62%

Delivery trend +11.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/01/20269th40/10%38%+0.38
27/02/20267th25/10%50%+0.50