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Emily Estherfaye

3yo Filly · 9-3

Clonmel · Clonmel Racecourse Supporters Club Fillies Maiden · 1m 1f 168y

#6

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed more than on debut when 3¼ lengths fifth of 11 to Garden Party in maiden at Cork last month, meeting trouble and finishing with running left. Easy to see her being involved if building on that but may already have one eye on handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Galway 31/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f Yie 12931/07C8C8 @ Cork 14/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f90y Goo 12914/08C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Cork?5th5th0
2026-07-31Galway?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0714/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +26.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/07/202611th100/10%33%+0.33
14/08/20265th200/10%60%+0.60