Essential Comedy

3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 67

Clonmel · Clonmel Racecourse Supporters Club Fillies Maiden · 1m 1f 168y

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: BHA70

Recent avg: C7.8

Today:

Class gap: +0.3

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-27	Navan	BHA70	12th	11th	+1	1.0
2026-08-15	Tramore	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-07-01	Fairyhouse	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-06-18	Leopardstown	?	6th	6th	0	4.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%

▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price

Trend▼

Strength98%

Delivery trend -3.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
18/06/2026	6th	125/1	0%	44%	+0.44
01/07/2026	5th	14/1	26%	64%	+0.37
15/08/2026	3rd	14/1	26%	60%	+0.34
27/08/2026	12th	28/1	0%	35%	+0.35