6

Noble Honour

3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 74

Clonmel · Clonmel Racecourse Supporters Club Fillies Maiden · 1m 1f 168y

#2

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

43%

Place Prob

46%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Placed first 3 starts in maidens, producing just about best effort yet when second of 13 at Fairyhouse on third occasion. Failed to build on those efforts on handicap debut last time, though, and needs to bounce back now reverting to maiden company.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: BHA78
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 20/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m Hvy 12820/09C8C8 @ Roscommon 18/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f63y Goo 12818/05C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 05/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m1f190y Goo 1295/06C8BHA78 @ Curragh 18/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 78 · 1m2f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 78 par18/0778OR 78projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18CurraghBHA786th6th+0
2026-06-05Fairyhouse?2nd2nd0
2026-05-18Roscommon?3rd3rd0
2025-09-20Gowran Park?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0918/055/0618/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -39.3% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/09/20252nd14/126%88%+0.61
18/05/20263rd3/184%83%-0.01
05/06/20262nd85/4089%92%+0.03
18/07/20266th11/271%0%-0.71