6

Noble Honour
3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 74
Clonmel · Clonmel Racecourse Supporters Club Fillies Maiden · 1m 1f 168y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
43%
Place Prob
46%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: BHA78
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | BHA78 | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairyhouse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Roscommon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Gowran Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -39.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 18/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 85/40 | 89% | 92% | +0.03 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |