IvyArcIvyArc
7

Shanala

3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 76

Clonmel · Clonmel Racecourse Supporters Club Fillies Maiden · 1m 1f 168y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

57%

Place Prob

53%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Continued a theme of run-to-run progression when length third of 21 to Mawhibah in maiden at Navan last time. Open to further improvement and uphill finish should play to her strengths.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 05/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f100y Goo 1285/05C8C8 @ Leopardstown 04/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f Sft 1294/06C8C8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 21 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 1292/09C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Navan?3rd3rd0
2026-06-04Leopardstown?4th4th0
2026-05-05Gowran Park?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/054/062/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +23.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/05/20265th4/179%43%-0.36
04/06/20264th4/179%73%-0.06
02/09/20263rd4/179%90%+0.11