1

Desert Swing

4yo Gelding · 9-9

Clonmel · Slievenamon Maiden · 1m 1f 168y

#6

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ran to a modest level first time up when ninth of 12 in maiden at Galway (8.5f) in July. Tackles longer trip in a first-time visor.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m73y Yie 1411/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Galway?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength22%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/08/20269th16/116%27%+0.11