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4

Kakori

4yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 73

Clonmel · Slievenamon Maiden · 1m 1f 168y

#2

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

16%

Place Prob

28%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful filly who posted best effort to date when second of 10 in claimer at Roscommon (10.4f, good) last month. Not disgraced back down markedly in trip at Laytown last time and this return to further will suit. Vulnerable to improvers, however.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength48%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Listowel 22/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m Hvy 12922/09C8C8 @ Down Royal 29/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 7f26y Yie 129BHA67 @ Gowran Park 20/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 67 · 7f Hvy 137 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/10/2025 · OR 67 par20/1067OR 67BHA67 @ Curragh 15/03/2026 · Pos 21st of 26 · OR 67 · 1m Hvy 137 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/03/2026 · OR 67 parBHA66 @ Bellewstown 11/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 66 · 7f205y Sft 136 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 66 par11/0466OR 66BHA66 @ Navan 25/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 20 · OR 66 · 1m5f Goo 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 66 parC7 @ Limerick 10/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 66 · 1m3f210y Goo 142 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 66 par10/06C7OR 66C7 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 67 · 1m2f94y Gd 142 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 67 parC8 @ Laytown 10/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 74 · 7f Std 138 · below its mark10/09/2026 · OR 74 par10/09C8OR 74projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Laytown?4th4th0
2026-08-18Roscommon?2nd0th+2
2026-06-10Limerick?3rd1st+2
2026-04-25NavanBHA666th4th+1
2026-04-11BellewstownBHA669th7th+1
2026-03-15CurraghBHA6721th19th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0915/0310/0610/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength82%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/09/20257th16/116%57%+0.41
29/09/20257th11/142%54%+0.12
20/10/20255th9/153%73%+0.21
15/03/202621st9/276%20%-0.56
11/04/20269th11/271%38%-0.33
25/04/20266th14/126%74%+0.47
10/06/20263rd7/282%78%-0.04
18/08/20262nd7/163%89%+0.26
10/09/20264th10/382%63%-0.20