5

Queen Of Chenab

6yo Mare · 9-4

Clonmel · Slievenamon Maiden · 1m 1f 168y

#7

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Timeform

Commentary

Well held in 2 bumpers towards the end of 2024 and in large-field maiden at Navan on Flat debut a fortnight ago

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 12.7 /10 (raw 12.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Tipperary 06/10/2024 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 2m50y Goo 1596/10C?C0 @ Limerick 26/12/2024 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 2m Yie 16526/12C?C8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 20th of 21 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 1352/09C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Navan?20th20th0
2024-12-26Limerick?8th8th0
2024-10-06Tipperary?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/1026/122/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength12%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/10/202410th28/10%10%+0.10
26/12/20248th125/10%36%+0.36
02/09/202620th300/10%5%+0.05