9

Borora Aura

3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 48

Clonmel · Suir Blueway Handicap (0-60) · 1m 1f 168y

#7

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

14/1, bit below form when seventh of 21 in handicap at Navan (1¼m, good) 11 days ago. Others are more persuasive.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: BHA46
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA52 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 52 · 1m1f120y Yie 132 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 52 par1/0652OR 52BHA50 @ Leopardstown 18/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 50 · 1m1f GF 121 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 50 parBHA48 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 48 · 7f211y Gd 128 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 48 par2/0748OR 48C7 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 46 · 1m2f Goo 125 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 46 parBHA46 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 46 · 1m4f GF 126 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 46 par24/0746OR 46C7 @ Sligo 05/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 46 · 1m2f100y Yie 121 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 46 parBHA52 @ Cork 14/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 17 · OR 52 · 1m Goo 128 · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 52 par14/0852OR 52BHA51 @ Navan 27/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 51 · 1m20y Goo 119 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 51 parBHA49 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 21 · OR 49 · 1m2f10y Gd 127 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 49 par5/0949OR 49projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05NavanBHA497th7th0
2026-08-27NavanBHA5110th10th0
2026-08-14CorkBHA526th6th0
2026-08-05Sligo?6th6th0
2026-07-24CorkBHA469th9th0
2026-07-08Fairyhouse?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/068/0714/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength70%

Delivery trend +6.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/06/20266th5/174%55%-0.19
18/06/20269th9/276%38%-0.38
02/07/20264th11/271%79%+0.08
08/07/20262nd15/261%88%+0.27
24/07/20269th10/147%27%-0.20
05/08/20266th22/10%62%+0.62
14/08/20266th25/10%69%+0.69
27/08/202610th8/158%18%-0.40
05/09/20267th14/126%70%+0.44