13
Cadreville
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 40
Clonmel · Suir Blueway Handicap (0-60) · 1m 1f 168y
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: BHA41
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Cork | BHA41 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Killarney | BHA41 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Naas | BHA42 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Gowran Park | BHA42 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Navan | BHA45 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Dundalk | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength76%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 21/10/2025 | 8th | 300/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 29/10/2025 | 10th | 250/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 16/05/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 01/06/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.68 |
| 13/07/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 62% | +0.04 |
| 24/07/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 45% | -0.12 |